Many observers believe that the Kyrgyz version of the change of power is hardly possible in Uzbekistan. According to them, if any popular demonstrations take place in the country, then there will simply be no one to lead the people and all these unrest will spill over into an uncontrollable crowd revolt, which can lead to dire consequences. For his part, the doctor of historical sciences, professor Fayzulla Iskhakov says that in private conversations there are some surnames of people who are respected among the population, but he will not voice them because of concerns for their safety.
In general, spontaneous folk performances are not news for Uzbekistan. In 1989, clashes between Uzbeks and Meskhitin Turks took place in the Fergana and Tashkent regions. The Meskhitinsk Turks, like all the small national diasporas, were more united than the representatives of the titular nationality; moreover, they were better off than their Uzbeks neighbors. This caused irritation, which eventually turned into a conflict. Many then believed that this conflict was provoked by Moscow. Professor Iskhakov agrees that the conflict was provoked, but he does not think that this was “the hand of Moscow”. A conflict between Kyrgyz and Uzbeks in the Kyrgyz city of Osh in 1990 was also provoked. And that is not all. The riots in December 1991, when a group of religious people seized the regional party committee in Namangan, a student performance in Tashkent in 1992. This is not a complete list of all the mass unrest in the country. At the same time, today, unlike in Kyrgyzstan, the population of Uzbekistan is apolitical. Therefore, only social discontent can bring people to the streets, and it is just growing every day due to an ever-worsening socio-economic situation. And if this happens, the victims will amount to thousands, but there is little likelihood that this performance will result from a change of political regime.